The share of diesel cars will fall sharply in the long term Under the influence of oil price development, emission guidelines as well as the global taxation of vehicles and fuels, the passenger car landscape in Europe will change sustainably in the future at the expense of diesel vehicles.This is the result of a recent study by management consultancy A.T. Kearney and AVL Consulting. .500 km from the current 12,000 km increase. Accordingly, the proportion of drivers, for whom a diesel is eligible for a cost reduction from just under 50 to about 25 percent, is reduced during this time, according to the study. According to the report, gasoline and hybrid vehicles benefit from this development. At the right time, the right drive forms are offered, becoming the key competitive factor in the automotive industry. The market for exhaust after-treatment alone will rise from currently 8 billion to around 30 billion euros by 2020. The purchase of a petrol engine will remain the most favourable alternative for motorists in the future, according to the study. In addition, the running costs will also fall by almost 20 percent by 2020. In 2020, a petrol engine will consume only just under 10 percent more than a diesel. In addition, the exhaust after-treatment systems required in the future will allow the additional costs for diesel to be climbed by another 800 to 1,500 euros. “Full hybrids, i.e. the combination of a combustion engine with a fully-fledged electric motor, would not yet be worthwhile for customers in 2020, at least from a cost perspective, since the acquisition of a medium-class gasoline hybrids will still cost about 3,000 euros more than that of a petrol company. and with about 1,000 euros more than that of a diesel vehicle. Left: » A.T. Kearney to the automotive and supplier industry » source – Handelsblatt